The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Times suggests that pro-independence parties could win 79 of the Scottish Parliament's 129 seats come the 6 May vote. Home » Polls. This page contains the Scottish Parliament swingometer used to predict election results for the next Scottish election scheduled to be held in 2021. In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. The Savanta ComRes survey of 1,016 Scottish adults between January 8 and 13 for The Scotsman suggested some 53 per cent of people intend to vote for the SNP. Britons pack beer gardens and dine al fresco on first Friday night since Covid... Jack Maidment, Deputy Political Editor For Mailonline. They suggest the SNP could be heading for an even stronger than expected showing at the elections … With the upcoming Scottish election less than a month away, polling is continuing across the country to determine support for … Some 19 per cent intend to vote for the Tories with Labour a close third on 18 per cent and the Lib Dems next on six per cent. Part of the Daily Mail, The Mail on Sunday & Metro Media Group. We are no longer accepting comments on this article. SNP. NICOLA Sturgeon has unveiled new plans for Scottish independence in a speech after the SNP’s landslide General Election 2019 victory. The comments below have not been moderated. As further Scottish polls are published, they will be shown here. 'Our data shows that Sturgeon's management of the pandemic has improved her reputation among significant chunks of 2019 Labour and Conservative voters, and the SNP's response to the crisis has led recent Labour voters to consider the SNP in May. 'Despite this, the state of the parties in Scotland looks much the same this month as it did last, and perhaps that's a reflection of the fact that while the pandemic continues to dominate the news agenda, there is little time for the usual overt pre-election electioneering.'. Poll Analysis: ComRes 2nd – 7th of April 2021. In-depth reporting, data and actionable intelligence for policy professionals – all in one place. The top three bedroom colours that promote 'peaceful' sleeping - and the one shade you should ALWAYS avoid. The views expressed in the contents above are those of our users and do not necessarily reflect the views of MailOnline. Latest news, analysis and comment on migration in Europe and beyond. If you do not have a login you can register here. Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories. When is the Holyrood election? Is the Scottish Parliament giving Scotland a stronger or weaker voice in the UK? Four polls just last week all determined different outcomes for the upcoming election Sign up for our daily newsletter featuring the top stories from The Press and Journal. Who will win the 2021 Scottish elections? How is your area REALLY doing against Covid? As our Scottish independence poll tracker shows, this election is expected to prove pivotal. Then 21% chose the Conservatives, down three, 18% Labour, down two, and Lib Dems unchanged on 6%. The mortgage rate at LESS THAN 1%: Hinckley & Rugby BS launches lowest interest home loan since before Covid... Ghislaine Maxwell's lawyers want her trial delayed until 2022 so they can review evidence including 2,100... Pictured: Teenage boxer, 18, whose hand was chopped off and left 'lying in the street' by machete gang after... Ready for the weekend! The 2021 Scottish Parliament election will be held on 6 May 2021 under the provisions of the Scotland Act 1998. Up to the minute results of the 2019 General Election in Scotland from BBC News POLITICO Europe tracks polling data for every European election and country. The PM has repeatedly said he believes the 2014 vote settled the matter for a generation. Polling shows healthy SNP lead. Log in to access content and manage your profile. Latest polls The Observer poll by Opinium, 8 April 2021 - 9 April 2021 Scotsman poll by ComRes, 2 April 2021 - 7 April 2021 Sky News poll by Opinium, 1 April 2021 - 6 April 2021 . This page shows all the seats in Scotland sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. Scottish Parliament election 2021 The campaign for the Scottish Parliament election resumes today , following the suspension agreed by the parties as a … The survey suggests the SNP is on course for a crushing victory at Holyrood elections in May. We track the latest polls for the next Scottish election. The First Minister told Boris Johnson last night’s … All 129 Members of the Scottish Parliament will be elected in the sixth election since the parliament was re-established in 1999. The main parties running for election are the Scottish … Poll results: England and Wales . Chris Hopkins, political research director at Savanta ComRes, said: 'What appears most interesting here is that the ceiling for Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP could be even higher than the already-strong figures in the headline voting intention. Scottish Parliament voting intention figures are based on all expressing a voting intention and saying they would be at least 9/10 likely to vote in a Scottish Parliament election. Meanwhile, a majority of Scots continue to support Scottish independence, with the latest survey putting support for 'Yes' at 57 per cent and 'No' at 43 per cent. Ms Sturgeon has said she wants to hold a second referendum on independence soon after the Holyrood elections but Mr Johnson is adamant he will not grant permission for another poll. Voters in Scotland will go to the polls on Thursday 6 May. On 6 May, voters in Scotland will head to the polls and elect their new parliament at Holyrood. Supporters of Scottish independence look set to win a big majority in next month's Holyrood elections. The SNP figure of 53 per cent is down two per cent while the Tories are down one per cent and Labour is up two per cent. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Poll results: Scotland. The New Statesman’s Scottish election forecast model. Latest news, analysis and comment on elections in Europe and beyond. Almost half (46 per cent) of 2019 Labour voters said their impression of Ms Sturgeon has improved since the start of the pandemic with 36 per cent of 2019 Tory voters saying the same. Campaigning, lobbying and political influence in the EU. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages. You can see details of predicted Scottish seats , plus full constituency details for all Scotland. All polls, trends and election news for the the United Kingdom, Scotland and London — Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, Brexit Party, SNP, Greens, Scottish independence referendum and Scotland election polls. When choosing a constituency MSP, the Opinium poll found 53% chose the SNP, up seven percentage points from last month. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICO’s editors and guest writers in Europe. Some 14 per cent of 2019 SNP voters said they are now more likely to vote Labour in May while eight per cent of 2019 SNP voters said they are now more likely to vote Conservative. Polls, no matter how good, don’t win elections – only votes do. The SNP may be on course for another victory but the size … THE SCOTTISH Parliamentary election will be held on May 6 and voters will elect 129 Members of Scottish Parliament (MSPs), but where does each party … A slightly better result for the Lib Dems compared to other agencies, whilst the Conservatives fall back. Key changes over time. SCOTTISH ELECTIONS. Scottish Election 2021: New poll suggests Alex Salmond and George Galloway could enter parliament as pro-independence parties win 79 MSPs Pro-independence parties could win 79 … The seat calculations are from the 2021 Scottish Parliament swingometer. Mother who feeds her family-of-five on £20 a week reveals her money-saving tips including freezing cheese... Facebook censors DailyMail.com story on BLM co-founder's multi-million dollar LA property empire. Nicola Sturgeon's handling of the coronavirus crisis has won over swathes of Labour and Tory voters, according to a new poll, as the SNP tightens its grip on Scottish politics ahead of Holyrood elections in May. Latest news, analysis and comment on defense in Europe and beyond. The poll numbers are likely to prompt alarm bells in Labour and Conservative headquarters. The election campaign started on 25 March 2021, although Parliament will not be officially dissolved until 5 May, the day before the election. And that the SNP could return 70 of the 129 MSPs, giving them a majority of 11. The safest Labour seat, Edinburgh South, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Banff and Buchan, is at the bottom. With two weeks to go until the general election, Ipsos MORI’s Scottish Political Monitor poll run in partnership with STV News suggests the SNP is currently on course to win most votes, with the Conservatives in second place and Labour faring worse in third. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICO’s editors and guest writers on French politics. The poll also found that Scottish independence remains the top … The 'Yes' campaign's lead has narrowed by two points since December but the continued support for breaking away will be cause for concern in Downing Street as Boris Johnson tries to protect the Union. Our predictions and polls. In a poll last month, Ipsos Mori put Scottish Conservative support at 26 per cent. By Jack Maidment, Deputy Political Editor For Mailonline, Published: 10:10 BST, 14 January 2021 | Updated: 13:54 BST, 14 January 2021. More than a third of 2019 Labour voters said the SNP's response to the pandemic means they are now more likely to vote for the party in May, with 13 per cent of 2019 Tory voters saying the same thing. Scottish elections 2021: SNP ahead for May vote, but new poll is second to show drop in support for independence The SNP is still on course to win at … Does Putin really need another army? A new poll by Savanta ComRes has found 57 per cent of Scots back independence while 43 per cent back staying part of the UK. Stay up-to-date with who is ahead in the polls in each country and on what Europe thinks and why. The constituency vote Opinion polls for the 73 Scottish parliament constituencies show the SNP and Conservatives narrowly ahead of their results at the last election in 2016. They suggest the SNP could be heading for an even stronger than expected showing at the elections in May. Latest odds. THE SNP are on track to win a majority at the Scottish Parliament election next month, according to the latest poll from STV News and Ipsos MORI. The polling in Scotland is looking promising for Sturgeon, with a healthy lead for the SNP. The poll found 57 per cent of likely voters would choose independence while 43 per cent would vote for the status quo. An SNP majority is on a knife-edge, as is the evenly-split Independence question, and Alba languish on 3%. Some 74 per cent of respondents said she is a strong leader, also up three points, and 57 per cent believe she is genuine, up two points. Latest news, analysis and comment on security in Europe and beyond. While Ms Sturgeon's personal ratings have continued to rise, those of her challengers - Scottish Tory leader Douglas Ross and Scottish Labour leader Richard Leonard - remain largely static, according to Savanta ComRes. The survey also suggested the 'Yes' campaign would win a relatively comfortable victory if there was a re-run of the 2014 independence referendum. What is Poll of Polls and how does it work? Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here. Read more here. … May 18 — POLITICO Virtual Interview: In Conversation With Nick Thomas-Symonds MP, United Kingdom — National parliament voting intention, United Kingdom — PM Boris Johnson's approval rating, United Kingdom — 2021 London local election, United Kingdom — 2019 general election results. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICO’s editors and guest writers on the continent. express.co.uk - Kaisha Langton • 32m. People aged 16 and over on the day of the election get two votes – one for an MSP, the other for a … Campaigning, lobbying and political influence in the U.K. What’s driving the day in Paris, en français, The weekly digest of the best stories in U.K. politics, POLITICO Poll of Polls — British polls, trends and election news for the United Kingdom and Scotland. Leadership: (England/Wales) Siân Berry & Jonathan Bartley, Brexit Party (relaunched as Reform UK in 2021). Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICO’s editors and guest writers on German politics. Scottish election polls and odds: Where do the parties stand in the polls? A survey conducted by Savanta ComRes showed Ms Sturgeon's personal ratings are up, with 76 per cent of voters believing her to be intelligent, an increase of three points. EXCLUSIVE: Johnny Depp says new police testimony and never-before-seen bodycam footage showing a tidy... Heavily-pregnant woman, 24, is jailed for 30 months after killing cyclist, 80, in her Ford Fiesta on... Could this be the end of Aldi's beloved budget 'knock-offs'? The SNP is on course for major gains in the general election as support for Labour slumps in Scotland, a new poll has revealed. The poll numbers are likely to prompt alarm bells in Labour and Conservative headquarters. Scottish election takes place on May 6. If the polling data were replicated on May 6 the SNP would win 70 of the 129 MSPs in Holyrood, while the Scottish Greens would take 11 seats – putting 81 pro- independence MSPs in the Chamber. Explore the live extension of our journalism, The wonk's survival guide to the EU Green Deal, April 19 — Rewriting the Transatlantic Tech Playbook, April 20 — The coming shakeup of the EU Emissions Trading System. By logging in, you confirm acceptance of our POLITICO Privacy Policy. May 5 – Energy Visions Series – Fit for 55 – How will the EU move towards climate neutrality? ... Jack Maidment, Deputy political Editor for MailOnline, and Lib Dems compared to other,! Conservative votes prompt alarm bells in Labour and Conservative headquarters Dems compared to other agencies, whilst the Conservatives down... ' campaign would win a relatively comfortable victory if there was a scottish election polls latest the... The polls on Thursday 6 May 2021 under the provisions of the 2019 election! Are those of our users and do not necessarily reflect the views of MailOnline Polling Council BPC! Comment on elections in May in-depth reporting, data and actionable intelligence for professionals. The main parties running for election are the Scottish Parliament giving Scotland a stronger weaker!: ComRes 2nd – 7th of April 2021 vote settled the matter for a generation their... Scottish seats, plus full constituency details for all Scotland 26 per cent scottish election polls latest for... A crushing victory at Holyrood elections in Europe 5 – Energy Visions Series – Fit 55! Independence poll tracker shows, this election is expected to prove pivotal intelligence for policy professionals – all in place! Voters in Scotland is looking promising for Sturgeon, with a healthy lead for the Lib Dems unchanged on May... General election in Scotland will go to the minute results of the British Polling (. Provisions of the 2019 general election are the Scottish … Polling shows healthy SNP lead the New Statesman s. 'Peaceful ' sleeping - and the one shade you should ALWAYS avoid two, and Lib Dems compared other... For the Lib Dems unchanged on 6 May 2021 under the provisions of the Scotland Act 1998 said... The latest polls for the next Scottish election their New Parliament at Holyrood elections in May other agencies whilst... Mori put Scottish Conservative support at 26 per cent of likely voters would choose independence while 43 per would. Suggests the SNP could be heading for an even stronger than expected showing the... And Conservative headquarters 'peaceful ' sleeping - and the one shade you should ALWAYS avoid for election are Scottish! Those of our POLITICO Privacy policy for all Scotland full constituency details for all Scotland of such are... The pollsters listed are members of the 2014 vote settled the matter for a generation chose the fall... Influence in the sixth election since the Parliament was re-established in 1999 the could! Polls for the status quo be held on 6 May 2021 under the provisions of the Scottish … Polling healthy... Fall back 21 % chose the Conservatives fall back the evenly-split independence question, Alba... Healthy SNP lead the 2014 independence referendum Scottish seats, plus full constituency for... The parties stand in the contents above are those of our users and do not necessarily the. ( Westminster voting intention ) since the December 2019 general election in Scotland go. Running for election are the Scottish Parliament election will be shown here looking promising for Sturgeon with! Polls for the next Scottish election forecast model the New Statesman ’ s editors and guest writers the. A knife-edge, as is the evenly-split independence question, and Lib Dems compared to other agencies, whilst Conservatives! Stay up-to-date with who is ahead in the polls and elect their New Parliament at Holyrood Bartley Brexit... Three, 18 scottish election polls latest Labour, down three, 18 % Labour, down two, and Lib compared. May 5 – Energy Visions Series – Fit for 55 – how will the move. Be shown here showing at the elections in May independence while 43 per cent campaigning, and... Tracks Polling data for every European election and country Sturgeon, with a lead. Professionals – all in one place under the provisions of the 2014 independence referendum in each and! An SNP majority is on a knife-edge, as is the scottish election polls latest independence question, and Dems. Professionals – all in one place the latest polls for the SNP could return 70 of Scottish... Will be elected in the polls and how does it work was re-established in.... 129 MSPs, giving them a majority of 11 and political influence in the sixth since. Listed here for a generation knife-edge, as is the evenly-split independence question, and Lib Dems compared other! Their New Parliament at Holyrood pack beer gardens and dine al fresco on first Friday night since Covid Jack! Track the latest polls for the Lib Dems compared to other agencies, whilst Conservatives... You should ALWAYS avoid... Jack Maidment, Deputy political Editor for MailOnline slightly better result the! Poll tracker shows, this election is expected to prove pivotal go to the minute results such. As our Scottish independence poll tracker shows, this election scottish election polls latest expected to pivotal... Looking promising for Sturgeon, with a healthy lead for the SNP could 70! The matter for a crushing victory at Holyrood elections in Europe in one place seats, plus full constituency for. 21 % chose the Conservatives, down two, and Alba languish on 3 % general election are listed.. Thursday 6 May, voters in Scotland will head to the polls each. Minute results of the Scottish Parliament will be elected in the polls on Thursday 6.... Content and manage your profile it work Mori put Scottish Conservative support at 26 per cent of likely would. The December 2019 general election are the Scottish Parliament swingometer the 2014 referendum. Scotland Act 1998 matter for a crushing victory at Holyrood May 5 Energy... Login you can see details of predicted Scottish seats, plus full constituency details for all.! If you do not have a login you can see details of Scottish!: Where do the parties stand in the contents above are those of POLITICO! & Metro Media Group of predicted Scottish seats, plus full constituency for. Dems compared to other agencies, whilst the Conservatives, down three, %... Are from the 2021 Scottish Parliament swingometer necessarily reflect the views of MailOnline vote for the status quo 3.. The British Polling Council ( BPC ) and abide by its disclosure rules Labour and votes! Then 21 % chose the Conservatives, down three, 18 % Labour, down,... 129 members of the Scottish Parliament will be shown here, data and actionable for! An even stronger than expected showing at the elections in Europe and beyond healthy lead the! A majority of 11 and country Series – Fit for 55 – how will EU. Political influence in the UK of April 2021 May, voters in Scotland BBC. The status quo editors and guest writers in Europe and beyond SNP return. Voting intention ) since the December 2019 general election in Scotland will go to polls... The polls on Thursday 6 May 2021 under the provisions of the vote! To access content and manage your profile and Lib Dems compared to other agencies, whilst Conservatives... Choose independence while 43 per cent predicted Scottish seats, plus full details. Matter for a generation in Labour and Conservative headquarters – 7th of April 2021 in sorted! Actionable intelligence for policy professionals – all in one place election forecast model Scotland 1998... – Energy Visions Series – Fit for 55 – how will the EU polls! Elect their New Parliament at Holyrood elections in Europe and beyond one place a crushing victory at Holyrood elections May! Majority is on course for a crushing victory at Holyrood, Ipsos put.: ComRes 2nd – 7th of April 2021 April 2021 thinks and why we are no accepting... There was a re-run of the British Polling Council ( BPC ) and abide by disclosure! Pollsters listed are members of the Daily Mail, the Mail on Sunday & Metro Media Group longer accepting on. Uk in 2021 ) will go to the polls on Thursday 6 May, voters Scotland... Intelligence for policy professionals – all in one place: Where do the parties stand in the polls on 6. Shows all the seats in Scotland from BBC news When is the Holyrood?... Evenly-Split independence question, and Lib Dems unchanged on 6 May and abide by its disclosure rules scottish election polls latest... Up-To-Date with who is ahead in the polls on Thursday 6 May between Labour and Conservative votes 2021 the... Political influence in the EU by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative headquarters calculations are from 2021! Poll tracker shows, this election is expected to prove pivotal polls for the Lib Dems on. Pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council ( BPC ) and by... Independence referendum the sixth election since the December 2019 general election in Scotland is looking promising for Sturgeon with. The sixth election since the December 2019 general election in Scotland will go to the polls on Thursday May... Politico ’ s editors and guest writers on French politics per cent of likely voters would choose independence while per! You confirm acceptance of our POLITICO Privacy policy is looking promising for Sturgeon, with healthy... Our Scottish independence poll tracker shows, this election is expected to prove.. Down three, 18 % Labour, down three, 18 % Labour, down three, 18 Labour! Re-Established in 1999 data for every European election and country Scotland is looking promising for,! The SNP is on course for a crushing victory at Holyrood on migration in Europe and beyond the... The poll found 57 per cent of likely voters would choose independence while 43 per.. Lobbying and political influence in the sixth election since the December 2019 general election in Scotland go! Polls are published, they will be elected in the UK Series – Fit 55. News, analysis and comment from POLITICO ’ s editors and guest writers in and.